NFL

Ultima giornata: Dallas sogna il sorpasso, 49ers-Seattle vale il primato

Restano da assegnare la seconda wild card nella Afc, con Tennessee favorita, e il titolo della Nfc East, con gli Eagles in vantaggio sui Cowboys. I 49ers con un successo sarebbero testa di serie n.1, perdendo addirittura quinti

Massimo Oriani @massimooriani

Un’immagine della sfida d’andata a Santa Clara vinta da Seattle 27-24 al supplementare. Afp

Con 5 posti su 6 gi¨¤ decisi sia nella Afc e che nella Nfc, nell’ultimo turno si gioca per il posizionamento nella griglia playoff, per il titolo della Nfc East e per la seconda wild card nell’American.

Scenari Afc
¡ª  

Baltimore si ¨¨ assicurata la testa di serie numero 1 e far¨¤ riposare i titolari (fuori sicuri Lamar Jackson, l’infortunato Mark Ingram, Earl Thomas, Marshal Yanda e Brandon Williams) contro Pittsburgh. A New England basta battere Miami a Foxboro per mettersi in tasca il bye al primo turno. Kansas City, che ospita i Chargers, deve sperare in un improbabile passo falso dei Pats per agganciarli e quindi superarli grazie allo scontro diretto favorevole. Dovesse invece perdere, potrebbe essere scavalcata da Houston in caso di successo dei Texans su Tennessee.

E proprio i Titans sono i favoriti per l’ultima piazza, con Buffalo gi¨¤ certa di chiudere al 5¡ã posto. Ai ragazzi di Mike Vrabel basta vincere per centrare i playoff. In caso di sconfitta, si riaprirebbero le porte della postseason a Pittsburgh, che per¨° dovrebbe battere i Ravens a Baltimore. Una piccola chance l’ha pure Oakland, che deve per¨° sperare in questa serie di combinazioni: vittoria su Denver e successi di Ravens, Texans, Colts e una tra Bears, Lions, Chiefs or Patriots. Improbabile ma non impossibile.

Scenari Nfc
¡ª  

Decisamente pi¨´ complicata e con meno certezze la situazione nella National. Il big match ¨¨ il Sunday Night tra Seahawks e 49ers. San Francisco deve vincere per conquistare la division e la testa di serie numero 1. In caso di sconfitta precipiterebbe al 5¡ã come wild card. Green Bay sbancando Detroit sarebbe certa del bye al 1¡ã turno, e in caso di vittoria di Seattle si assicurerebbe il vantaggio campo nei playoff.

New Orleans (impegnata in casa dei Panthers) pu¨° ancora sperare nel bye ma non nel 1¡ã posto. Per centrarlo ha tre possibilit¨¤: vittoria e k.o. dei 49ers, vittoria e successo dei Packers, oppure vittorie di Packers e Seahawks. Lo scenario per la quarta piazza ¨¨ invece semplicissimo: se Philadelphia passa in casa dei Giants va ai playoff come vincente della Nfc East. Se perde e Dallas sbanca Washington, ci vanno i Cowboys. Minnesota ¨¨ gi¨¤ certa del 6¡ã posto.

La griglia
¡ª  

Senza voler fare previsioni ma affidandosi banalmente alle percentuali fornite dal Football Power Index di Espn, questa la griglia playoff pi¨´ probabile.

AFC: bye Baltimore, New England.

Primo turno: Kansas City-Tennessee; Houston-Buffalo.

NFC: bye San Francisco, Green Bay.

Primo turno: New Orleans-Minnesota; Philadelphia-Seattle.

Le partite
¡ª  

Ore 19: Buffalo-NY Jets; Cincinnati-Cleveland; Detroit-Green Bay; Kansas City-L.A. Chargers; Minnesota-Chicago; New England-Miami; Tampa Bay-Atlanta; Carolina-New Orleans.

Ore 22.25: Dallas-Washington; Denver-Oakland; L.A. Rams-Arizona; NY Giants-Philadelphia; Jacksonville-Indianapolis; Baltimore-Pittsburgh; Houston-Tennessee.

Ore 2.20: Seattle-San Francisco.

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